we'll ask national security analyst ryan moore. ryan good to have you on the show. five that you outline and i want to make sure we get to all five. start with the israel or iranian conflict, will that heat up. >> sure. israel has to stop or delay it and iran presidential election and when there is a political crisis you pick a fight with israel. >> eric: we need to point out not the president of iran that has the power but the mullahs. >> right. >> eric: chaos in syria spread? >> it is already spreading. al-qaida operatives trying to carry out terrorist attack in jordan and face a, the dictator that is a proxy of iran and fighting militants and muslim brotherhood. >> eric: how does it theten america. >> this is a stronghold for al-qaida there. is plenty of good rebel to work with and we didn't . secular rebels don't control what is happening on the ground. >> eric: serious threat. middle eastern oil turmoil. what can happen. >> everyone focus on the conflict of iran and israel. but there is a conflict between saudi arabia and iran . the fact that iranian tried to l